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Reply #51: No faith in Mitofsky [View All]

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jkd Donating Member (151 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-04 02:52 AM
Response to Reply #50
51. No faith in Mitofsky
Edited on Mon Dec-13-04 03:24 AM by jkd
Concerning BYUs exit poll accuracy, Dr. Freeman said this:

True to their word, predictions in this years contests were quite accurate. In the Utah presidential election, for example, they predicted Bush 70.8%, and Kerry 26.5%. The actual was Bush 71.1%, Kerry 26.4%. Consistently accurate exit poll predictions from student volunteers, including in this presidential election, gives us good reason to presume valid data from the worlds most professional exit poll enterprise.

Mitofsky had Kerry at 30.5%. Isnt Dr. Freeman contradicting his own argument?

New Hampshire had the largest MOE and the exit polls were wrong. I believe Utah's exit poll was wrong. I have no faith in Mitofsky's exit polls for predicting the outcome of this election.
I believe that there was plenty of vote supression, voter intimidation and perhaps fraud, but your odds may greatly exagerate the problems.
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