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Reply #3: It is simply a breakdown by time zone of Kerry's exit poll vs. tallies [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-11-04 12:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. It is simply a breakdown by time zone of Kerry's exit poll vs. tallies
Edited on Sat Dec-11-04 12:04 PM by TruthIsAll
Is there a relationship between the percentage deviations and the time zones? Perhaps.

Look at the Eastern time zone, where Kerry had his highest exit poll margins. The average vote tally deviation was -2.7%. This is much higher than corresponding percentages as we go West.

The Pacific time zone which includes OR (all paper ballot) had the smallest decline: -0.4%

ZONE Num Over3%Exit Vote Diff
East 21 11 53.1 50.5 -2.7
Cent 16 4 43.4 42.4 -1.0
Mount 8 0 41.4 39.7 -1.7
Pacif 5 1 50.8 50.3 -0.4

Total 50 16 47.2 45.7 -1.5


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