Kerry loses about 400 votes to 3rd parties in Cleveland? 1 in 10^50 odds

[jfern]

Hmmm, is there something wrong here?

Precinct Badnarik Bush Kerry Peroutka
CLEVELAND 4A 0 10 320 0
CLEVELAND 4B 0 21 289 1
CLEVELAND 4C 0 12 313 0
CLEVELAND 4D 1 24 518 0
CLEVELAND 4E 0 14 356 4
CLEVELAND 4F 0 20 299 215
CLEVELAND 4G 3 58 261 3
CLEVELAND 4H 2 12 478 3
CLEVELAND 4I 0 7 494 0
CLEVELAND 4J 0 20 436 1
CLEVELAND 4K 0 10 413 1
CLEVELAND 4L 0 15 338 0
CLEVELAND 4M 1 17 478 2
CLEVELAND 4N 164 12 334 10
CLEVELAND 4O 0 13 439 6

So every precinct has almost no 3rd party votes except for the one with 0 Badnarik votes and 215 Peroutka votes, and the one with 164 Badnarik votes and 10 Peroutka votes? Right.

The odds are around 1 in 10^49 of this happening:

Precinct Badnarik Peroutka
4F 0 215
4N 164 10

Precints with the most 3rd party votes. There are other suspicious precincts.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/12/1/52932/8333

Source of the precinct level data:
http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/boe/results/history/2004/EL52.TXT

Graph showing how most of the precincts with high levels 3rd party votes had Kerry doing much better than Bush:

(how the bloody hell do I link to an image without displaying it? - if you want to see it click through at this link)
http://www.dailykos.com/comments/2004/12/1/155546/958/195#195