Reply #45: Hmm. Those numbers look impressive enough but ...

[thanatonautos]

one should look at the actual source. See page 5.

The author is clearly skeptical of the idea that discrepancies
with raw exit poll numbers, if those are what were
published, prove fraud. This is fair enough, as far as it goes.

But he leaves more or less open the question:

Exactly how raw were the numbers that were published?

On this question he has no more of a clue than any of us,
including you.

In otherwords, your own premise is not satisfied by the
numbers you post. Those numbers do not prove
that exit polls have often been wrong in the past.

Further, what is not in dispute, so far as I know, is that
Florida in 2000 was originally called for Gore, by
professionals at the various networks, in part on
the basis of exit polls, some taken specifically
in Palm Beach County, which showed sufficient numbers
of voters left the polls believing they had voted
for Gore.

We know what happened in Palm Beach County, and we
know that the Florida exit polls in 2000 were, in fact,
basically correct.

More Palm Beach voters, and more Florida voters did cast
their votes for Gore ... it was the butterfly ballot in
Palm Beach and ballot spoilage elsewhere in the state that
produced a false Bush victory.

So the exit poll controversy ... while it certainly does
not prove fraud, certainly is absolutely worthy of full
investigation.