I have a bad feeling

[MeDeMax]

That Ohio made decision 2008 last night.

Yes, I know the delegate math and all the other factors involved. But there is just something about Ohio that we become the accurate predictor of future outcomes. Barring a miracle, Hillary is going to be the nominee who will go on to lose to McCain in November.

Here is why I think this will happen:

- Bush will court the evangelicals and core conservatives for McCain.

- Many Christian voters, men & women, believe having a woman leader is against the teachings in the Bible.

- McCain is very good at attracting independent voters with his straight talk express, so he is likely to best her in that space.

- Military families will vote McCain due to his POW status and because they don't change course in the middle of a war.

- She is vulnerable to McCain, here is why:

___- He is far more experienced than her in pretty much any area by a few decades.

___- He is a POW.

___- She voted to authorize the war.

___- Last week during the debate in Cleveland, she said she wished she could have her Iraq vote back (flip flop).

___- She also flip flopped on NAFTA, she cheered on NAFTA when it passed, now she wants to renegotiate it.

___- He is from a border state and has supported illegal immigrant issues (much to the chagrin of the R base).

___- He can use his anti-abortion position and his support for illegal immigrants to sway Hispanics away from her.


So Hillary will excel in non-evangelical democratic women voters (white and minority, absent Barack factor) but McCain wins simple majorities in many other demographics and strong majorities in R strongholds.

What do you get ? Decision 2008 for McCain.

Its pretty depressing.