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Bold Prediction: Obama v. Mccain will be closest election in U.S. history [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Politics_Guy25 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-09-08 05:57 PM
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Bold Prediction: Obama v. Mccain will be closest election in U.S. history
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269-269 looms large but I don't really see it. Just based on the polls, I would expect a national popular vote winner of 0.5% with maybe a 350,000 popular vote spread. Perhaps 4 electoral college votes will seperate the two candidates in the electoral college. All national polls indicate a race that is incredibly tight. The battleground states are split pretty much evenly between O and M. The gold standard NBC/WSJ shows this as just a 1 point race! Both parties are incredibly energized and bursting to go to the polls to support their candidate. Of course, Mccain is no longer the candidate running for president. Palin is.

From a pure political junkie standpoint, this is fascinating. Get ready for a 3 a.m. election night (morning?) call by the networks.

I further don't expect the debates to really break the race wide open either way. Close all the way to Nov. 4. This is where Obama's massive ground game will make ALL of the difference IMO.
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