Obama’s momentum has been fading since February, and he’s been falling short of his own expectations. Obama predicted a 5-point loss in Pennsylvania (Clinton won by nearly 10 points) and an 11-point win in Guam (currently he’s winning by 7 votes -- a recount is under cosideration). In April, Obama was up 23 points in NC. Now his supporters are talking up a 12 point result. In February he was predicting a 53/46 win in Indiana.
If Obama doesn't win both NC & IN decisively, he should drop out immediately because the late May contests are going to really hurt him.
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