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NYT: OBAMA Eminently Electable with NO sign of Backlash with White Voters due to Wright [View All]

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futureliveshere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 02:22 PM
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NYT: OBAMA Eminently Electable with NO sign of Backlash with White Voters due to Wright
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So nowadays the NYT seems to be suffering from endorser's remorse. In the last few days there seems to be more and more articles being released that talk about the inevitability of an Obama nomination as he rolls on to 2025.

Here is the latest article that talks about there being no apparent backlash being suffered by the Obama juggernaut with respect to attracting the voters of various demographics (emphasis is all mine). All this talk about Obama having difficulty attracting White voters is just NOT TRUE!!

Since January, the Clinton's have pummeled Barack Obama with racially tinged comments and questions about his character. Hillary Clinton has questioned why he didnt walk out on the Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr.; why he denounced but didnt reject Louis Farrakhan; and whether he is too chummy with the former radical Bill Ayers. She chastised his characterization of white working-class voters as being highfalutin and chided him for not agreeing to a street-fight-style debate. Bill Clinton has called Obamas stance on the war a fairy tale, dismissed an early primary win as mere Jesse Jackson redux and recently claimed that Obama was playing the race card against him. Some of this is valid, the result of Obamas own missteps, but some of it is baffling.

The rhetoric appears to be trafficking in old fears and historic stereotypes. The unspoken (and confusing) characterization of Obama is that hes militant yet cowardly; uppity yet too cool for school.

The question is this: Have white Democrats soured on Obama? Apparently not. Although his unfavorable rating from the group is up five percentage points since last summer in polls conducted by The New York Times and CBS News, his favorable rating is up just as much.

On the other hand, black Democrats opinion of Hillary Clinton has deteriorated substantially (her favorable rating among them is down 36 percentage points over the same period).

While a favorable opinion doesnt necessarily translate into a vote, this should still give the Clinton's (and the superdelegates) pause.

Electability cuts both ways.

If Hillary Clinton should defy the odds (and the current math) and secure the nomination, she would be hard-pressed to defeat John McCain without the enthusiastic support of black voters, stalwarts of the Democratic base.

Getting that support could now be tricky.

The article has graphed the movement of Obama's support over a longer time horizon and shows clearly that the apparent Obama unpopularity with the white vote base is just a "fairy tale". After all, numbers don't lie and that is what this race is about, the numbers, and the numbers are all in Obama's hands.
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