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Reply #139: If it does, then the House and Senate will turn red. Again. [View All]

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benEzra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-14-08 09:19 PM
Response to Reply #133
139. If it does, then the House and Senate will turn red. Again.
Edited on Mon Apr-14-08 09:25 PM by benEzra
We've got to be honest here.

If we get a Democratic president and a 60 seat majority in the Senate, gun control is going to happen.

It had damn well better NOT happen.

In 1994, merely raising prices on replacement magazines for popular pistols, and requiring minor cosmetic changes on some civilian rifles, cost the House AND Senate in November 1994, and unseated the sitting House Speaker for the first time since the damn Civil War. Support for that asinine bait-and-switch is now at least ten percentage points lower than it was in 1994, when passing it turned both houses of Congress red--and the 1994 law didn't even ban any guns at all. Do you really, really want that to happen again?

More people own "assault weapons" than hunt, and something like THREE TIMES as many people own handguns as hunt. If the repubs at the Brady Campaign get their way and get the most popular rifles in America banned, or slap pre-1861 capacity restrictions on 40+ million lawful gun owners, what do you think will happen next, politically? Well, think of the backlash you might get from outlawing hunting, and multiply it by two or three.

The danger of pushing/passing new gun bans isn't alienating the Right. It's about alienating working-class DEMS. Bans on nonhunting guns simply will NOT fly in most of America, whether red or blue. Here's how lesser proposals faired in rural Virginia in the '90s through '04:

Alienated Rural Democrat (2004)

We've got a very good shot at winning in November. But if you want to KEEP the trifecta, you have to leave the gun issue to the states. 2006 showed that that is indeed a winning strategy; stick to it.

Dems and the Gun Issue - Now What? (written in '04, largely vindicated in '06, IMO)

The Conservative Roots of U.S. Gun Control

Thoughts on Gun Ownership
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