You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login

Reply #75: The benefit of the doubt goes to Obama [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Tom Rinaldo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-17-08 06:51 PM
Response to Reply #43
75. The benefit of the doubt goes to Obama
Being ahead in pledged Delegates wins him that even though there is nothing in the rules that tell Super Delegates how to vote. But Obama has not won the nomination in the primaries, he hasn't been able to reach the threshold needed to do that and so there is no automatic obligation to nominate him.

If the best Hillary can do between now and the convention is win a dozen or two more pledged delegates than Obama in the remaining races, without establishing very significant momentum in the closing months of the race, that won't be a good enough reason for Super Delegates to give her the nomination. However if Hillary opens up an 8-10 point gap in almost all of the national polls over Obama by the time this is ending, if she wins all of the races she is favored to win while losing none of those and winning some of the one's that Obama was thought to be favored in, that changes things.

If Clinton is surging and Obama is fading, if the public is starting to rally toward her and away from Obama, that changes things in a scenario where they are only several percentage points apart in pledged delegates they each won. If Clinton is very close without Florida being counted, that is a factor it is legitimate for SD's to consider. Is she shows strenths in the populations of States we need to win, that is a factor also. There are others also but I just got my dinner call, lol.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC