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Reply #37: Don't count on the superdelegates [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
mikehiggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #34
37. Don't count on the superdelegates
I know this isn't in my own guy's best interest but I'm telling you Dean supporters that if Dean doesn't have the nomination sewed up with convention votes pledged to him by primary vote he isn't likely to leave the convention as the Democratic nominee.

Its a lot like the process by which you put somebody on a ballot in the first place. Usually you have to have a set number of citizens sign your petition. So if you need 10,000 signatures you get 10,000 and you're fine, right? You know that's wrong. If you need 10,000 you'd better have 15,000. 20,000 would be even better. One bad signature--and any number of things can make a signature "bad" including whether or not the judge deciding it had a good night with his girlfriend the night before--can kill a whole page of signatures.

When Perot ran in NYS his campaign provided a separate petition for each and every signature. That way if the signature was "bad" only that signature was knocked out, not the other 19 on the same page.

So you may have an overwhelming number of superdelegate commitments in your pocket when you get to the convention. Then some of them turn out to be "bad". If your guy has P.O.d Bill Clinton enough, then maybe all of them will. If the DNC decides among themselves that your guy is going to kill any chance of winning in November, ditto.

You can figure that you aren't going to get one more vote than you walk in with, even if you've got a signed document written in blood. That's politics in the real world. They people who turn on you won't even be embarrassed by breaking their word. They've all done just that dozens of times before in their careers, and they know they'll be called upon dozens of more times before they quit.

So, don't tell me about superdelegates, brother. I've been sold out by the best of them.

A politician's promise is worth the air its written on.
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