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Rasmussen: Clinton gaining national support; Obama standing still or declining [View All]

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Karmadillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-06-07 09:20 AM
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Rasmussen: Clinton gaining national support; Obama standing still or declining
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Edited on Mon Aug-06-07 09:22 AM by Karmadillo
Yes, it's a national poll. Yes, Rasmussen is somewhat suspect. Yes, the other polls that show Clinton with a significant lead are also national polls. Yes, the Dean campaign of 2004 is a reminder of how quickly support can slip away. Yes, polls in Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina show a closer race. Just posting this because it's an interesting take on how things appear to be trending and it will be worth watching to see it the early primary states begin to demonstrate a similar trend as 2008 approaches.

Monday, August 06, 2007

New York Senator Hillary Clinton has been steadily gaining support since April in her quest for the Democratic Presidential nomination. A review of the weekly polling data released by Rasmussen Reports showed Clinton averaging 33% in April, 35% in May, 36% in June and 39% in July. During the last full week in July, Clinton topped the 40% mark for the first time and the first full week in August the frontrunner earned support from 44% of Likely Democratic Primary voters.

While Clinton has been gaining support, her nearest challenger had been standing still for most of that time. Over the past week-and-a-half, however, Illinois Senator Barack Obamas support has declined for the first time since April.

The charismatic newcomer to the national political scene had enjoyed stable support in the 25% to 27% range for ten straight weeks during May, June and July. In fact, except for a brief blip to the 30% range in April, Obamas numbers have been in the mid-20s just about all year. However, his support slipped slightly to 24% during the final full week in July and slipped again to 22% in the first full week of August. This is the first time all year that Clinton has doubled Obamas support in a full weeks polling sample.

Clinton and Obama fairly evenly divide the African-American vote while Clinton leads among all other demographic categories.

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