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Reply #29: Why quote YouGuv? Its utterly worthless [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-10-05 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. Why quote YouGuv? Its utterly worthless
Not a random sample, it comes from a "recruited panel"

Was it just because Kerry led in it?

The RCP average of the final 8 polls conducted a week or less before the election gave Bush edge by a margin of 48.9%-46.9%, and Kerry only led in 2.

Allocate undecideds to 60% Kerry and 40% Bush, and the total would be Bush 50.58% Kerry 49.42%; pretty damn close to the actual popular vote total, hits Bush's number head on.
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