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Reply #5: I voted the second choice, but [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Boo Boo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-29-05 07:05 PM
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5. I voted the second choice, but
I still think it's not quite right. I think the polling data shows that people are unhappy with Bush right now, as per #1, and I think that gas prices are just another straw on the camel's back so to speak, but I really think it's the Shiavo thing that is really creeping people out.

The right wing Christian/Shiavo stuff cuts across party lines, and the polling data is overwhelmingly against the Feds messing with these kinds of decisions. Rove's determination to pander to the Christian right wing between now and '06 is what's really fueling the revolt, IMO.

Bush's approval on various issues fluctuates. People still cut him a lot of slack, and it wouldn't take too much good news from Iraq, for instance, to bump that back up. The gas price thing is something he can't do anything about, in part for ideological reasons, and in part because no matter what he does gas prices won't come back down for a long while---if they come back down at all.

In any case there's a lot of negatives out there right now. Consumer confidence is dropping, Gas prices, Iraq, etc. Add to that the Shiavo fiasco and the Repubs continued sucking up to Christian wingnuts and it's bad news for the 'Pubes in '06. The best part is that I don't think there's anything they can do about it. They've boxed themselves in. They can't move forward on important fiscal and energy policy issues, and they can't back away from the Fundies.

They're screwed. The big question is whether enough voters at the mushy middle will be outraged enough to actually drive to the polls and vote. That's the thing. Big turnout means big gains for the Dems I would think.
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