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Reply #9: I don't understand the numbers in Florida, Nevada or Wisconsin [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Awsi Dooger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-04 05:23 AM
Response to Original message
9. I don't understand the numbers in Florida, Nevada or Wisconsin
Edited on Wed Nov-17-04 05:26 AM by Awsi Dooger
That source you linked had Kerry trailing in Florida by .1% That's the same margin Steven Freeman used in his PDF. You have Kerry winning by a full 1 percent.

In Nevada, looks like you screwed Kerry out of a win. That exit poll chart, along with Freeman, have Kerry by 1.3%. You list Bush winning your election model by 1.3% and don't have any electoral votes for Kerry at the far right.

In Wisconsin, your number is Kerry by a full 5 points. Both Freeman and this Scoop source have Kerry ahead by .4%.

Otherwise, your margins are identical or within a few tenths of everything on that chart.

For anyone copying this chart, the numbers of Delaware and the District of Columbia are reversed. Nader is not represented so every state totals 100% or thereabouts. The Wyoming numbers are probably supposed to be 68-32%.

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