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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Nederland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #207
211. Ok
So then we should have this:

(0.46 * 47) + (0.54 * 52) = 49.70% Kerry
(0.46 * 52) + (0.54 * 48) = 49.84% Bush

Exit Poll vote versus Recorded Result:

Bush: 49.84% vs. 52.15% +2.31%
Kerry: 49.70% vs. 47.02% -2.68%

Which is within the margin of error for the poll. There simply nothing odd going on here, even if you ignore the fact that the exit poll sample you are using is universally accepted as being flawed.
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