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Reply #205: New Hampshire unexpected results [View All]

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SoCalDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 11:53 AM
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205. New Hampshire unexpected results

Okay folks, I have been doing some analysis of the voting trends for the New Hampshire stuff because of the excellent work by Faun Otter in this thread: ...


I picked New Hampshire because of two things -- we "won it", and the exit polls were wrong by 15%.

Out of the 300 counties, ONLY SIX did NOT show an increase in voter turnout: the increased turnout is NOT a myth.

ONLY FIVE had more votes for THIRD PARTY CANDIDATES in 2004 than they they did in 2000 DESPITE this increased turnout. Totals for these FIVE wards were 2004 Other = 24 vs 2000 Other = 10; All other 295 showed LOWER VOTES (and minuscule percentages) for Third Party Candidates. This is NOT a Nader issue.

71 of the 300 are the ones I'm most concerned with because Kerry LOST to Bush by a GREATER PERCENTAGE than Gore did in 2000. In all 229 other wards -- even where Kerry LOSES the district -- his numbers INCREASE percentage wise.

There are obviously some variables that we need to figure out, which is why I'm asking for some "boots on the ground" help in New Hampshire. Please go look at the DATA on and let me know if this makes sense --

A= Under 200 Votes (3 of 19 or 16%)
B= 201 - 500 Votes (1 of 30 or 3%)
C= 501 - 1000 Votes (6 of 43 or 14%)
D= 1001 - 2000 Votes (11 of 77 or 14%)
E= 2001 - 5000 Votes (39 of 109 or 36%)
F= 5001 - 10000 Votes (6 of 15 or 40%)
G= Over 10001 Votes (5 of 7 or 71%)

which I translate to BIG CITIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE GOT MORE CONSERVATIVE? I don't think so.

I think starting with Benton in Grafton is probably the best way: its small, and there were only 178 voters this year (compared to 117 in 2000). They did NOT follow trend, and in fact, the town went CRAZY with a 10% increase in Bush voters. Does this make any sense to anyone familiar with the area?

I need some people to make some phone calls to the voters in those precincts, which means getting the voter call sheets from the Democrats in New Hampshire. Help me out here, people -- I think we can PROVE some fraud! (Benton would be the easiest -- if more than 60 people say they voted for Kerry, it should be OVER....)

Mods, I'll be posting this in several forums, since I'm not sure where people are hanging out these days....
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