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Reply #116: Wrong [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
SoCalDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 05:54 AM
Response to Reply #114
116. Wrong

An exit poll is asking someone after they walk out of the election booth who they voted for. It's not speculating with likely voters vs. registered voters. This is a poll of exactly who someone just voted for. It's accurate and an excellent mechanism for insuring voting accuracy and to alert us to potential voting fraud.

Given a statistically significant sample size you can accurately predict the voting pattern for the state within a margin of error.

In this case the sample size was large enough to be representative of the nation as a whole. It is also notable that the exit polling accurately predicted the results in most states with very little error. Where there were discrepancies, they are as noted, and they were significant in the +5% range and always in favor of Bush.

There is no plausable explanation for the variance in the EVoting states that have no paper audit trails other than fraud.
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