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Reply #232: We don't have the means to model it accurately. [View All]

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petgoat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-08-06 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #214
232. We don't have the means to model it accurately.
We don't even have the blueprints.

Building bad models with a known error would be the way to home in on the gray zone
where the errors are not known.

It's like this: suppose you've camped by a river and gone for a hike and gotten
semi-lost in the woods. You want to go back to your camp. If you aim right for
it and you miss it, then you don't know whether to look upstream or downstream.
But if you incorporate a deliberate error by aiming for a spot deliberately upstream
of your camp, then you can just follow the river down and find it.

In the same way, deliberately flawed models help you home in on the precision zone
where small changes have big effects. It's like a tricky piece of carpentry-- you cut
it too big at first and trim it down. If your first cut aims right at what you think
is the right length, you might cut it too small.

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