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Reply #175: Here is one critique [View All]

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one-eyed fat man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-06-11 09:03 AM
Response to Reply #171
175. Here is one critique
Edited on Tue Dec-06-11 09:09 AM by one-eyed fat man

Many articles have been published finding that shall-issue laws reduce crime. Only one article, by Ayres and Donohue who employ a model that combines a dummy variable with a post-law trend, claims to find that shall-issue laws increase crime. However, the only way that they can produce the result that shall-issue laws increase crime is to confine the span of analysis to five years. We show, using their own estimates, that if they had extended their analysis by one more year, they would have concluded that these laws reduce crime. Since most states with shall-issue laws have had these laws on the books for more than five years, and the law will presumably remain on the books for some time, the only relevant analysis extends beyond five years.

If you want to argue that if a person is suicidal, and that if they know there is a gun in the house and can get at it they may be more inclined to use it than hunt through the garage for a rope and hang themselves you might have a point. The same might be said for people who live in tall buildings, they don't have to go out and buy a gun when they can just walk out the window. Particularly people who really mean to die, not the drama queens who swallow a few pills, call all their friends, and wind up in the emergency room.

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