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Reply #45: Really? [View All]

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Nederland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-15-11 11:06 AM
Response to Reply #43
45. Really?
The rate of warming from 1990-2000 is twice what was actually observed. As I mentioned before, if you include 2000-2010 the results are probably even worse. Do you honestly believe that being off by that much doesn't matter?

FYI, I don't even look at hindcasts. A model's ability to replicate the past is not a demonstration of skill, it is simple curve fitting. You know what the temperature curve is supposed to look like, so you keep tweaking the model until its right. The only true validation of a model comes from comparing forecasts to observations.
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