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Reply #7: You're both on the same page [View All]

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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-04 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. You're both on the same page
I think that Massacure has the equation just about right, except for one currently-hidden variable. That variable is: We are going to have to dedicate an enormous amount of human energy to solving the problem. It's not enough just to say "build more nukes" (current nuke technology is lousy, and its replacement is not funded) and "recycle french-fry oil". There are entire sub-economies whose energy sources will have to be changed.

For instance, air transport and trucking are each used to move most of our "stuff" around. What happens when oil is $200/bbl? It will become uneconomical to use trucks and planes to move stuff around, except for special cargoes like medicines and sex toys for rich people.

Well, nobody seems to be talking about it, but I will -- we should develop a new generation of airships, modern Dirigibles. They're easy on energy use and they can lift a lot of stuff. The new ones can even use hydrogen gas as safely as helium, which has less lift.

And that's just one example.

The problem isn't stupidity, it's financial interest. Too many people will be out a few bucks. And when the market pushes them to innovate, it will be so late that the innovations will come with much higher prices and much lower returns.

It's not just easy to be pessimistic, it's rational.

--bkl
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