Reply #11: Kerry is winning in Ohio, and nationally

[ShaneGR]

Not sure what you're talking about.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

Wednesday May 05, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John F. Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 43%.

Kerry has now held a three-point edge for three straight days. Neither candidate has held a three-point advantage for four consecutive days since Kerry emerged as the Democratic frontrunner.

When one candidate holds a "lead" in the tracking poll that vanishes after three days, it suggests that a single night of tracking was especially favorable to that candidate. If a candidate, in this case Kerry, is able to hold a lead for more than three days, it could signify a trend.

Arkansas:

Bush 45% Kerry 45%

Wisconsin:

Kerry 50% Bush 42%

Oregon:

Kerry 46% Bush 45%

California:

Kerry 51% Bush 40%

New Hampshire:

Kerry 47% Bush 45%

New Jersey:

Kerry 51% Bush 39%

West Virginia:

Bush 46% Kerry 41%

Colorado:

Bush 49% Kerry 44%

Florida:

Kerry 47% Bush 46%

Washington

Kerry 50% Bush 44%

Iowa

Kerry 51% Bush 41%

Minnesota

Kerry 47% Bush 44%

Missouri

Bush 49% Kerry 42%

Michigan

Kerry 48% Bush 44%

Ohio

Kerry 45% Bush 41%

Pennsylvania

Kerry 45% Bush 44%

North Carolina:

Bush 51% Kerry 43%

Illinois:

Kerry 52% Bush 39%