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Reply #70: These results are weird [View All]

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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-08-05 11:51 AM
Response to Reply #48
70. These results are weird
The % of people choosing in some match ups is as low as 75%. The Kerry/Bush one is the highest response at 95%. The most fascinating thing to me is that CARTER does better than Clinton!

I would guess that Zogby used a question of who did you vote for in 2004 and then used it to get a stratified sample estimate for the reported resuts. Closer to the election (if nothing had happened yet - ie no Fallujah), this might be usefull to normalize the result. At this point, some of the Bush voters now having misgivings will self report themselves as Kerry voters. (This happened with McGovern/Nixon - with many people lying that they didn't vote for Tricky Dick).
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