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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Response to Me. (Reply #39)

Fri Feb 21, 2020, 03:50 PM

48. Thanks!

 

Per polls: they are, at very best, a snapshot of the views of a sample of people. They are "accurate" in that brief moment, for that relatively small sample of people. Thus, they can be a useful measure if interpreted correctly, and that must always include recognizing that public opinion is usually fluid. More, the benefit of the poll is connected directly to its audience -- in presidential elections, national polls suggest who will likely win the popular vote, while state polls are a better measure for who is likely to win the actual election. And just to make it even more interesting, the dynamics can change in the last 72 hours before an election, in a way that cannot be measured until after the election results are in. The best example of that might be 1968, when HHH closed the gap with Nixon and making it far closer than the polls had suggested. Indeed, with 24 more hours, Humphrey would almost certainly have beat Nixon, and our nation's history would have been far, far different.

Likewise, the media has to be viewed in context. It's no longer like having Uncle Walter report the facts. It was rare indeed for him to ever come close to adding his opinion. (Funny, that again brings us back to 1968, when he gave his opinion on the situation in Vietnam. LBJ told people he had "lost America" the night that happened.) Today, for good or for bad, almost 100% of those on television insert their interpretation of events while reporting -- and those interpretations are, and can only be, at least partially subjective, as it must include at least a hint of their opinion. There seems to be a bit less of that in newspapers, though they, too, are never pristine in their objectivity.

What we are witnessing with Nunes and Trump and their ilk is terrible.It is damaging to the nation and world. The only potential bright spot is that they are in such a hurry to destroy our institutions that they do not practice any self-discipline.That will eventually catch up to them.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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