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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
In the discussion thread: Im so over Iowa and NH [View all]

Response to Kurt V. (Reply #5)

Sun Feb 9, 2020, 11:33 PM

9. 59% as of 2017, and dropping, by far the fastest rising group is Hispanics, they will pass up A-A's


eventually in our Party, although it takes longer for just the Democratic Party's % of Hispanics to pass up A'A's, as they are more split between the 2 parties than black voters are.

here is a very large, detailed article

States of Change

How Demographic Change Is Transforming the Republican and Democratic Parties



Black voters are, far and away, the most stable coalitional element in our study. Due to relatively low immigration and modest birth rates, black eligible voters have only grown at about the same pace as all voters. As a result, the rough size of this group has not changed significantly over time. Black voters have grown just slightly as a share of all voters (12 percent), Democratic voters (22 percent), and Republican voters (2 percent).

Current demographic trends suggest that this group will only grow marginally going into the future. Absent any shifts in turnout, black voters should make up an identical portion of voters, Democratic voters, and Republican voters in 2020. However, by 2036, black voters will make up 13 percent of all voters, 23 percent of Democratic voters, and 3 percent of Republican voters.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
evertonfc Feb 2020 OP
Control-Z Feb 2020 #1
Kurt V. Feb 2020 #2
emulatorloo Feb 2020 #4
George II Feb 2020 #3
Kurt V. Feb 2020 #5
LineLineLineNew Reply 59% as of 2017, and dropping, by far the fastest rising group is Hispanics, they will pass up A-A's
Celerity Feb 2020 #9
Retrograde Feb 2020 #10
FreeState Feb 2020 #6
TwilightZone Feb 2020 #7
jcmaine72 Feb 2020 #11
krissey Feb 2020 #8
Kentonio Feb 2020 #12
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