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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » The front page of Saturda... » Reply #15
Undecided 42%
Elizabeth Warren20%
Joe Biden15%
Bernie Sanders12%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Response to aeromanKC (Reply #10)

Sat Jan 11, 2020, 10:07 AM

15. except you'd be dreaming

 

Because if you watch this video about the polling organization, which is, btw, the one that's been around the longest, you'll see that they have been very successful in the past because, as the pollster says, they are not polling backwards, they are polling forward.

Other polls get it wrong because they make an assumption based on the past. The assumption the other polls are making is probably about name familiarity, although she does not specifically state that. She says that her polling organization makes their assumptions based only on data.

Gives an example about first caucus in 2008.



If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Donkees Jan 11 OP
wendyb-NC Jan 11 #1
lunasun Jan 11 #2
James48 Jan 11 #3
TidalWave46 Jan 11 #4
irisblue Jan 11 #5
safeinOhio Jan 11 #6
Nanjeanne Jan 11 #7
Aussie105 Jan 11 #8
crazytown Jan 11 #9
aeromanKC Jan 11 #10
crazytown Jan 11 #11
LineLineLineNew Reply except you'd be dreaming
NJCher Jan 11 #15
NJCher Jan 11 #12
crazytown Jan 11 #14
Hassin Bin Sober Jan 11 #13
bluewater Jan 11 #20
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Hassin Bin Sober Jan 11 #21
NJCher Jan 11 #16
brush Jan 11 #17
wellst0nev0ter Jan 11 #18
jcmaine72 Jan 11 #19
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