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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

LongtimeAZDem

(4,494 posts)
14. Older poll numbers are aged out
Fri Jan 3, 2020, 01:24 PM
Jan 2020

"Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency"

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Suddenly, Biden leads in Iowa! [View all] beastie boy Jan 2020 OP
It's a blitzkrieg! getagrip_already Jan 2020 #1
There will likely be an even division of delegates coming out of Iowa, and the current positions LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #2
I just picturted the view of someone who is not a lead dog. beastie boy Jan 2020 #5
The latest poll shown seems to be from Dec 19 redqueen Jan 2020 #3
The chart at the link shows standings as of January 2 beastie boy Jan 2020 #6
But with no new Iowa polls - how had anything changed? redqueen Jan 2020 #7
It's explained at the top; it's a moving average, less recent numbers have less weight LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #15
No January 2nd... Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #8
That's the date of the average. redqueen Jan 2020 #10
"accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency" LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #12
You beat me to it...I was going to say that too...the same is true in New Hampshire by the way Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #16
They do explain their methodology: LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #18
Very interesting...we should see some polls in Iowa soon too. But I think 538 is brilliant and trust Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #20
As more candidates drop out and as things become more frightening around the world redstatebluegirl Jan 2020 #4
mine too. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #9
I think redqueen is correct. I believe that this is how I saw things on 538... Sloumeau Jan 2020 #11
It has moved...My guess is national polls are also figured in...biden is ahead 10 points or more in Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #13
Older poll numbers are aged out LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #14
More than a surge according to some. TidalWave46 Jan 2020 #17
Alrighty now!!! Peacetrain Jan 2020 #19
Certainly a 'surge' by Biden supporters in this thread. empedocles Jan 2020 #21
:D LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #22
Yep...this is good news for Biden. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #23
It's being reported that there's a Seltzer/DMR poll in the field... brooklynite Jan 2020 #24
Where is it being reported...not doubting you but I don't see it. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #25
I am hoping that there will be a slew of new polls out on Monday. StevieM Jan 2020 #27
I posted some updates figures...538 has a way to update using national trends and Algorithms...been Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #28
It just doesn't feel the same as new polls. StevieM Jan 2020 #29
I agree...waiting for new polls. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #30
The holidays are over and people are getting serious. RandySF Jan 2020 #26
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»Suddenly, Biden leads in ...»Reply #14