Democratic Primaries

dsc

(52,160 posts)

32. His 44% would beat or tie every Democrat since Carter

Sat Dec 28, 2019, 06:24 PM

Dec 2019

and would tie Clinton's 94 reelection. A 12 point margin would be better than all but Clinton (who had Perot drawing a non trivial number of white voters) it would tie Obama in 2008 (our best two person election since 1964). In short, it would be huge. https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/race/news/2016/02/05/130647/what-about-white-voters/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Biden's dominance with AA voters, and Sanders with Millennials, makes little difference in the GE. [View all] crazytown Dec 2019 OP

Premise Here is Wrong IMO. Indykatie Dec 2019 #1

And the error in the polling methodology is? crazytown Dec 2019 #2

turnout AdamGG Dec 2019 #23

We know it's rubbish. AA alone were 12% of all voters in 2012, Hortensis Dec 2019 #36

The variation across demographic groups is striking. David__77 Dec 2019 #3

Biden supporters consistently underestimate how (relatively) unpopular their candidate is crazytown Dec 2019 #4

I think that there's a lot of group compartmentalization going on. David__77 Dec 2019 #7

Yes. I get hung up on numbers. crazytown Dec 2019 #9

I hope that those strengths can be combined and expanded upon somehow. David__77 Dec 2019 #11

Shocking, isn't it? Act_of_Reparation Dec 2019 #12

Sanders would be president today if younger voters were reliable and voted. Demsrule86 Dec 2019 #19

Whoa ismnotwasm Dec 2019 #5

To dismiss the 6% of 18-34 yrs Biden sheds crazytown Dec 2019 #6

If that 6% chooses to not vote dansolo Dec 2019 #14

"they are selfish assholes" crazytown Dec 2019 #15

If those voters don't vote for the nominee no matter who it is...than fuck them. We will have to Demsrule86 Dec 2019 #20

Your take is spot on the sentiment of most Dems. The numbers you cited only strengthen the sentiment beastie boy Dec 2019 #8

Agreed. crazytown Dec 2019 #10

Can't really disagree Loki Liesmith Dec 2019 #13

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2019 #16

? crazytown Dec 2019 #17

And Black vs White voters as a whole 👀👀 lunasun Dec 2019 #18

Which is terrible for the GOP...they have to get more of the white vote than that...and I don't Demsrule86 Dec 2019 #21

That's quite high. If I recall correctly, democrats just need around ecstatic Dec 2019 #22

If that held up we would be golden dsc Dec 2019 #25

44% of whites voted Dem in the midterms crazytown Dec 2019 #27

If Biden kept his 44 dsc Dec 2019 #30

His 44% would beat or tie every Democrat since Carter dsc Dec 2019 #32

In 1996 Perrot won 9% of whites. crazytown Dec 2019 #34

He hurt his percent in all likelihood but almost certainly helped his margin dsc Dec 2019 #35

Um ... crazytown Dec 2019 #37

yeah so his margin was only -2 dsc Dec 2019 #38

God help us if we have to depend on young people voting Lexblues Dec 2019 #24

I didn't hear too many complaints in 2012 crazytown Dec 2019 #29

Obama got the AA vote out in force too Lexblues Dec 2019 #39

"Biden's dominance with AA voters" is just such bizarre wording jberryhill Dec 2019 #26

Yikes - I agree crazytown Dec 2019 #28

It's the George Wallace wing of the party who are now Trump supporters jberryhill Dec 2019 #31

And in 1994, 26 years after his presidential run, crazytown Dec 2019 #33