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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
In the discussion thread: Still undecided [View all]

Response to evertonfc (Original post)

Sat Aug 10, 2019, 06:25 PM

3. Welcome to the forum


Been playing around a bit with this lately. 538.com has statewide polling.


Not sure Dems can win Florida this cycle. Trump and Scott in 2016, then DeSantis in 2018 disavowed me of the notion. Similarly Wisconsin and Iowa. Arizona is likelier blue than Texas in 2020 (I live in Texas).

I think the battlegrounds are Michigan and Pennsylvania, so if the Blues can win those two plus NH and one in Omaha, NE, that's 279 EV.

The only state I really cannot predict is NC.

That seems like the path at this very early stage.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:

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evertonfc Aug 2019 OP
CTyankee Aug 2019 #1
Hortensis Aug 2019 #2
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PDittie Aug 2019 #3
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