Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: I'm a little scared & thinking about switching my support to Biden [View all]marylandblue
(12,344 posts)You started with fear and intuitively jumped to Joe Biden as the "safe" bet. But if you are like most people, your intuitions about safety are more based more in emotion than rational analysis. An experienced moderate geographically desirable white male will always seem like a likely winner because that's our stereotype of a winning candidate. But such people often lose to people with less experience who aren't from swing states aren't the most moderate or aren't white.
Instead of starting with fear, start with your objective - winning. Then look at what factors make a winning candidate and look for historical, psychological or logical factors that support each factor. Once you have a set of reasonable factors, chose the candidate that best matches those factors. For me, at the moment, that adds up to Warren.
Interesting you talk about "magic wands." They actually polled this. First they asked people to pick a candidate preference. People chose Biden. Then they asked who they would pick if they could wave a magic wand and declare a President. People chose Warren. The results show that people are psyching themselves out through "electability." They are guessing (wrongly) that everyone else wants Biden, when in fact, more people want Warren. Warrens biggest problem is that she doesn't "look like" a winner, even if she is one.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden