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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Wed May 22, 2019, 09:05 AM

 

New Quinnipiac poll shows Biden ahead in all voter groups except "very liberal" Dems [View all]

and in that one Warren currently leads, 30% to 22% for Sanders and 19% for Biden.

Not sure what would worry Sanders more -- that he's losing that group to Warren, or that Biden's almost tying him with Dems who consider themselves very liberal.

Other internal numbers from this new national poll:

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2622

Biden leads with the "somewhat liberal" group, 26% to 22% for Sanders and only 9% for Warren.

Biden's far ahead with moderate/conservative Dems, 48% to 10% for Sanders and 6% for Warren.

Biden has a clear lead over Sanders and Warren with male voters (36% - 16% - 14%) and female voters (34% - 16% - 13%).

He has a clear lead with white voters (32% - 13% - 16%).

He has a clear lead with non-white voters (39% - 21% - 8%).

Whoops - just noticed he's tied with Bernie for voters age 18-49 (23% - 23% - 18%).

He has a clear lead with voters age 50+ (46% - 8% - 9%).

He has a clear lead with all three income groups surveyed:

<50k (40% - 21% - 10%)
50-100k ( 28% - 17% - 16%)
>100k (31% - 13% - 15%)


He also has a clear lead with people who say they're paying attention to the presidential campaign.

Among those who say they're paying a lot of attention, he leads Sanders and Warren 42% - 8% - 15%.

Among those who say they're paying "some" attention, he leads 33% - 19% - 16%.

Only among those who say they're giving the campaign little or no attention does he lose that lead to Sanders, with Sanders getting 28% of that inattentive group to 23% for Biden and 5% for Warren.


So...

The poll suggests that the more liberal and younger AND less attentive a voter is, the more likely they are to support Sanders.

If they're very liberal and young AND paying a lot of attention to the campaign, they're more likely to support Warren than Sanders.


But Biden's well ahead with most groups -- including the groups that vote most reliably.

And it's also important to note that he has a bigger lead over Sanders and Warren among people who are Democrats (37% - 15% -13%) than among Democratic-leaning indepedents, though he still leads with that group by a wide margin (30% - 19% - 13%).


And please don't try telling me this is all "name recognition" at this point.

Especially with his roughly 30-point lead among voters who say they're paying a lot of attention to the campaign.


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Reply New Quinnipiac poll shows Biden ahead in all voter groups except "very liberal" Dems [View all]
highplainsdem May 2019 OP
Peacetrain May 2019 #1
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BlueMTexpat May 2019 #4
brooklynite May 2019 #22
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LibFarmer May 2019 #7
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