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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » Hillary Clinton, Bernie S... » Reply #8

Response to in_cog_ni_to (Reply #5)

Sun Jan 10, 2016, 12:00 PM

8. Yup

thing is it's likely voter.this is election where likely voter model is wrong.many of bernie's supporters don't fit likely voter model.
they are young or independent or first time voter of are republican or vote third party but switching to vote for bernie.

Bernie will win iowa and NH.and then Nevada becomes battlefield.

Clinton out of first 4 contests may only win SC.and that may end up a closer victory than people once thought.

If you saw the familys first forum Bernie had great reception from black voters there.Especilly when he called out trump for
his birther comments on Obama.

In Iowa enthusim will matter.give me some evidance that clinton has enthusim outside of MSM polls.because i can't see any.
Nevada is also a caucs so a repeat could happen.

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
FreakinDJ Jan 2016 OP
Name removed Jan 2016 #1
Name removed Jan 2016 #2
sorechasm Jan 2016 #3
Robbins Jan 2016 #6
EdwardBernays Jan 2016 #4
in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #5
LineLineNew Reply Yup
Robbins Jan 2016 #8
DUbeornot2be Jan 2016 #7
earthside Jan 2016 #9
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