2016 Postmortem

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)

2. Before the naysayers bring out question #14....

Wed Dec 23, 2015, 07:29 PM

Dec 2015

A very suspicious thing was that for question #13 the directive was to read candidate's names in a random order, but not for #14. That makes the results of #14 suspect, don't you think?

Some good reading on what is called "first-listing bias": http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/04/opinion/04krosnick.html

Very good source: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/newslet_909cb.html

Even more: http://www.yalescientific.org/2008/11/the-mind-and-the-ballot-the-role-of-psychology-in-elections/

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New CNN National Poll: Hillary's Lead DROPS By 12 [View all] Segami Dec 2015 OP

yep! dana_b Dec 2015 #1

That and Hillary's elitest attitude is shining through FreakinDJ Dec 2015 #52

Hillary is up in the Quinnipic poll: 36 lewebley3 Dec 2015 #90

The DEM Primary IS ... The GENERAL ELECTION! CorporatistNation Dec 2015 #66

Yes, Let's. Cal33 Dec 2015 #97

Before the naysayers bring out question #14.... JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #2

A lot of the poll is suspect and skewed towards Hillary bobbobbins01 Dec 2015 #4

yes, the trends are very negative for her grasswire Dec 2015 #42

I don't know about a *lot* of the poll, but certainly that question is. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #48

Thanks JonLeibowitz... Segami Dec 2015 #6

It's such a coincidence that all of these biases always seem to favor HRC. She sure is lucky! nt stillwaiting Dec 2015 #19

#14 results should be suspect. Segami Dec 2015 #62

Older voters are getting to know Bernie now Rosa Luxemburg Dec 2015 #3

It took longer time for them, which is understandable Nyan Dec 2015 #73

Thanks, Segami HerbChestnut Dec 2015 #5

Feel the Bern! farleftlib Dec 2015 #7

You can't take anyone for granted. the idea that older people naturally roguevalley Dec 2015 #36

K&R pa28 Dec 2015 #8

Thanks! Punkingal Dec 2015 #9

Post removed Post removed Dec 2015 #10

Nah, I like him. bobbobbins01 Dec 2015 #12

This made me laugh artislife Dec 2015 #13

First of all...what is your problem?.... Segami Dec 2015 #14

Pro Hillary Poster Trajan Dec 2015 #32

no, actually it's efforts like yours that generate such feelings stupidicus Dec 2015 #16

Yeah, when it's poll data you don't like that's a no no. Cassiopeia Dec 2015 #23

This is funny ybbor Dec 2015 #31

Same here with my daughter and son-in-law. draa Dec 2015 #59

This person loves his stuff. 'Speak for yourself' seems to be the appropriate response to those who sabrina 1 Dec 2015 #43

ok, what about these: still_one Dec 2015 #11

The above is to be expected from the MSM & Fox. I have no confidence in them whatsoever. Cal33 Dec 2015 #15

I don't trust CNN either. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #22

wow, someone who actually wants to deal with substance. My hats off to you still_one Dec 2015 #58

. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #60

Yes...remember "too close to call!" in '12? deutsey Dec 2015 #80

Funny how you once disparaged the Corp-Media but now you embrace it. Situational ethics. nm rhett o rick Dec 2015 #55

Here's what i think Ned_Devine Dec 2015 #71

Post removed Post removed Dec 2015 #17

The People did not want her in '08, and they don't want her NOW. Hillary, don't go away mad... AzDar Dec 2015 #18

You're doing something Republucans often do rjsquirrel Dec 2015 #37

Yes. Insidious. Good LORD. AzDar Dec 2015 #51

I sure hope so harun Dec 2015 #83

many younger folks have said that their parents and gparents restorefreedom Dec 2015 #20

Bound too. And when kids go home from college, watch out! JDPriestly Dec 2015 #30

yup. the young people know they are being screwed. restorefreedom Dec 2015 #53

Very good point! thereismore Dec 2015 #77

Listen to the two madokie Dec 2015 #21

Good case in point: family leave. JDPriestly Dec 2015 #33

HRC does not WANT her plan to get through Congress. Divernan Dec 2015 #47

The Democratic Party does not blondie58 Dec 2015 #24

Wait, so you like mainstream media polls now? NuclearDem Dec 2015 #25

Just waiting for them to remember her style ybbor Dec 2015 #34

O'Malley has increased.... LovingA2andMI Dec 2015 #96

KnR smiley Dec 2015 #26

Time for the free fall. Now the truth will drip, drip, drip, drip in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #27

Wow, not sure where you get your info but it is waaaaay off. Persondem Dec 2015 #40

i think sanders is heading for the slow roll, ppl are starting to take notice. juxtaposed Dec 2015 #28

"They are getting a little bit nervous that someone might interrupt the coronation" Jack Rabbit Dec 2015 #29

Sanders fans embrace polls when it favors them Tarc Dec 2015 #35

Really! hilarious how just yesterday they were slamming CNN, and Amimnoch Dec 2015 #67

K&R CharlotteVale Dec 2015 #38

60 vs. 27. Those are the current, post-debate numbers, according to CNN. pnwmom Dec 2015 #39

I didn't see any mention of their 60 vs. 27 numbers in the CNN poll PDF. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #41

CNN showed the 60 vs. 27 post-debate result in a screen shot on the video. pnwmom Dec 2015 #44

It isn't that I must not believe CNN, it is that I want to check methodology. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #46

Check out that video above posted by Ned_Devine LiberalLovinLug Dec 2015 #92

Thank you. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #94

I just visited CNN News website, and on the front page reads: Dems move to Clinton c588415 Dec 2015 #45

+10 !! (NT) (no boot ) eom PosterChild Dec 2015 #72

Hillary looks toast to me. Helen Borg Dec 2015 #82

HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Dec 2015 #49

How reliable can a poll be whose numbers for Clinton have fluctuated so dramatically since June: George II Dec 2015 #50

Hang in there by your majical polls because you don't have a chance debating rhett o rick Dec 2015 #56

If you're going to ignore facts and reality you're correct - I don't have a chance debating (your).. George II Dec 2015 #68

but, but, but, that doesn't fit the talking point still_one Dec 2015 #57

We just need it to be 50-40 by Iowa... ram2008 Dec 2015 #54

Correct. 99Forever Dec 2015 #61

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Dec 2015 #63

Some polls show her going up... Other say she is going down. iandhr Dec 2015 #64

If this keep up vssmith Dec 2015 #65

Then when you add in post-debate polling Clinton's lead grew to 60% vs. Sanders' 27%. Historic NY Dec 2015 #69

I can't stop laughing...a new poll every 5 minutes... mgmaggiemg Dec 2015 #70

And how firm is the support? Babel_17 Dec 2015 #74

Yeah, I saw a man in his 90's with a Bernie bumper sticker on his car. cui bono Dec 2015 #75

Hmm ... and then BlueMTexpat Dec 2015 #76

Was this poll conducted and / or concluded before DNC tried its latest dirty trick against Sanders? Betty Karlson Dec 2015 #78

Kick and R BeanMusical Dec 2015 #79

Quick, put the next D debate on 2AM on Sunday! Helen Borg Dec 2015 #81

Oh, that's a swell idea! Duval Dec 2015 #89

or to put it another way - Hillary leads by a whopping 50-34 after the republicans MariaThinks Dec 2015 #84

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #85

And Bernie is still unknown by nearly 1/4 of the voters. RoccoR5955 Dec 2015 #86

MSNBC had her dropping in the polls and loosing to Trump this morning. Duval Dec 2015 #87

Check out the link below, Segami! Duval Dec 2015 #88

Yes,..I saw this...thanks! Segami Dec 2015 #91

When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Dec 2015 #93

Told Ya!!! LovingA2andMI Dec 2015 #95