2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Some more interesting tidbits from Nate Silver's 538 blog....added in EV totals [View all]longship
(40,416 posts)In spite of the fact that I am skeptical of these projections. Nate Silver has a good record. But it's not sufficient for me.
I am encouraged that he tries to build an accurate model. I like his projections -- which Democrat wouldn't -- but I can't help but believe that this may be a case of confirmation bias.
The same thing that is happening with electoral-vote.com which is excluding data (Rasmussen polls) merely because they do not agree with a perceived bias, true or not. That's why e-v.com has the most wildly optimistic projections of all the EV maps.
I prefer TPM's map, or Princeton's. Neither of which rejects data because they don't agree with it. In science, you cannot do that, in spite of any apparent bias.
I know. Statistics suck.