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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: What if we concede the NH and IA primary and caucus to Sanders? [View all]jeff47
(26,549 posts)42. If we had a simultaneous national election, you might have a point.
But we don't.
Obama's 2008 win in IA moved his poll numbers in SC, for example. Clinton's IA loss caused her poll numbers to slide in several "Super Tuesday" states, then rebound some with her NH win.
Since we don't have a single, national primary, early results greatly affect later results.
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If my hastily worded subject line gave you that impression then Im heartily sorry for the confusion.
NurseJackie
Nov 2015
#49
It's not 2008. Sanders is not Obama. Webb & Chafee (and O'Malley) are not John Edwards.
NurseJackie
Nov 2015
#75
Yes, Sanders is not Obama is VERY relevant to the discussion . He was the transformative
riversedge
Nov 2015
#78
Yes, Sanders is not Obama but he has his own strengths as a candidate and is running on a
Bernblu
Nov 2015
#117
Yes, she did lose support. Do you really think we can't see polling from 8 years ago?
jeff47
Nov 2015
#85
Good effort, but, Bernies voters are so desperate for SOMETHING to cling to,
NurseJackie
Nov 2015
#91
One key factor is now involved: We all know who HRC is, and she is not trustworthy.
Floyd Steinberg
Nov 2015
#133
Post this in 2007 and replace Sanders with Obama and you would know the answer. n/t
Dawgs
Nov 2015
#17
"Post this in 2007 and replace Sanders with Obama and you would know the answer."
NCTraveler
Nov 2015
#45
Sanders has a huge ground game across the country. Volunteers have set up weekly meetups and events
peacebird
Nov 2015
#56
You missed the bit about phone banking? Oh, and yes door to door walk abouts too.
peacebird
Nov 2015
#67
Conceeding those two primaries creates a route, because the people themselves will see Sanders
Agnosticsherbet
Nov 2015
#18
I think we can call the polling misleading and barge ahead if the MSM is hailing Clinton there must
Todays_Illusion
Nov 2015
#21
I know even more about Democratic primaries (with special emphasis on 2008)
Attorney in Texas
Nov 2015
#30
Had Democrats joined forces around the stronger candidate we could have beaten Rubio.
DCBob
Nov 2015
#124
Because as other campaigns were actively campaigning and getting news coverage, Giuliani was on the
Attorney in Texas
Nov 2015
#33
I think that is highly unlikely to happen. I think Bernie will do far better than you would like
peacebird
Nov 2015
#58
I think he could I just don't see it happening after the last two months we have witnessed.
NCTraveler
Nov 2015
#70