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Response to MoonRiver (Original post)

Tue Nov 17, 2015, 03:58 AM

40. I'm not competent to answer that question.

But I would start by excluding any poll that has an 80% land-line base. Also, 21st century polling must be very difficult to adapt to the changing dynamic of cell phone use. Other factors would be not to use an exclusively Democratic base. It should include independents and Republicans to be more accurate about an unconventional candidacy. Also, rather than repeat voters, it should include self-described likely voters who have never voted before.

That's my lay opinion. I suspect my described methodology changes would be so expensive and unconventional that nobody is conforming to those criteria. I presume that the methodology currently used is basically the same as it has been for at least several cycles, which means it is getting progressively less reliable.

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MoonRiver Nov 2015 OP
Attorney in Texas Nov 2015 #1
Art_from_Ark Nov 2015 #37
LexVegas Nov 2015 #2
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #3
-none Nov 2015 #4
bahrbearian Nov 2015 #25
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #28
NCTraveler Nov 2015 #5
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #6
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #9
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #10
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #11
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #17
tammywammy Nov 2015 #19
cantbeserious Nov 2015 #7
Gothmog Nov 2015 #14
cantbeserious Nov 2015 #15
Gothmog Nov 2015 #22
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #24
AgingAmerican Nov 2015 #8
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #33
ibegurpard Nov 2015 #12
magical thyme Nov 2015 #13
saturnsring Nov 2015 #16
Fawke Em Nov 2015 #18
Orsino Nov 2015 #20
NCTraveler Nov 2015 #21
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #26
Android3.14 Nov 2015 #23
MoonRiver Nov 2015 #29
Tierra_y_Libertad Nov 2015 #27
whatchamacallit Nov 2015 #34
Starry Messenger Nov 2015 #30
hill2016 Nov 2015 #31
okasha Nov 2015 #32
Corruption Inc Nov 2015 #35
Fawke Em Nov 2015 #36
AgingAmerican Nov 2015 #38
Samantha Nov 2015 #39
LineNew Reply I'm not competent to answer that question.
Admiral Loinpresser Nov 2015 #40
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