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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » PPP poll Nov 14 Who Won D... » Reply #90

Response to riversedge (Original post)

Sun Nov 15, 2015, 08:10 AM

90. The one inevitable post on DGP is that polls that folks don't agree with are bad polls....

PPP used as valid a method as possible - calling people who watched the debate and asking relevant questions. Those participants are most likely going to vote!! No one knew the results until they were published. Professional pollsters often report who paid for the poll for transparency, which is a sign of their neutrality and professionalism. It increases confidence, because the pollster is being upfront.

College students, for example, love to be active on line and will attend a rally because there's free pizza and a social opportunity. They also don't register and don't vote; at least that's the case in recent elections. Adults watching a debate at home instead of a ballgame or Downton Abbey are going to vote.

So far, the polls have been pretty good - they reflect regional and demographic expectations, have some variability due to sampling, and show changes over time as candidates campaign. As the email story was put to rest, Hillary looked better. When Biden dropped out, Hillary gained. In fact, when O'Malley quits Hilary will gain again.

Bernie has tried and failed, so far, to get any traction with minority and immigrant populations. Last night's debate and poll didn't change the picture. Hillary has more international experience and it showed. With "likely voter" Democrats who watched the debate; most thought Hillary provided the best answers. That makes sense because of the situation in France and emphasis on international affairs. Hillary did a good job last night.

"It's a poor workman who blames their tools."

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riversedge Nov 2015 OP
dlwickham Nov 2015 #1
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