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CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
59. The only states that matter, as far as polling goes...
Mon Nov 9, 2015, 08:18 PM
Nov 2015

...are the first couple of states that vote first in the primaries.

The states that have primaries later are not even plugged into the political scene yet. They are not paying attention. The campaigns don't have ads running in those states and the candidates are making little, if any, appearances in these spots.

We saw this happen with Obama. He was behind in every state, but as we moved on from state to state--the tide shifted and changed.

So yes--the first few states that vote really do reveal the most about who will win.

It's not just "two states". The two most important states right now--Iowa and NH.

Post removed Post removed Nov 2015 #1
I do not care if you like me!!!!!!!! bravenak Nov 2015 #2
OMG....this is what they come here for? VanillaRhapsody Nov 2015 #3
YES bravenak Nov 2015 #7
It's like grade school all over again Cali_Democrat Nov 2015 #9
I like you...nt SidDithers Nov 2015 #4
I like you too.nt bravenak Nov 2015 #6
Hi Sid.... VanillaRhapsody Nov 2015 #10
Hehe... SidDithers Nov 2015 #16
Even better than my version! VanillaRhapsody Nov 2015 #20
There's a song that says that. I'll spare you. But I checked: YES. n/t freshwest Nov 2015 #68
LOL that is the funniest post I've read on DU in days. :-) n/t seaglass Nov 2015 #18
+1 BootinUp Nov 2015 #17
I like you. Your 3rd para seems fine to me, doesn't insult anyone or anything. Hekate Nov 2015 #11
It is not what I said but being me while saying it. Cracks me up. bravenak Nov 2015 #13
No kidding. Keep swatting those cooties, cutie. Hekate Nov 2015 #15
I will!! bravenak Nov 2015 #19
I like you baby girl! leftofcool Nov 2015 #29
Thank you!! I like you too. Somebody is cranky, huh? Must be heartbern. bravenak Nov 2015 #42
..... Skidmore Nov 2015 #31
Yay!! Lol@EM! bravenak Nov 2015 #40
I like you. :) Starry Messenger Nov 2015 #39
I like you too! bravenak Nov 2015 #43
l like you! <3 NurseJackie Nov 2015 #47
Thank you! I like you too. bravenak Nov 2015 #48
Oh you poor dear ... However, will you sleep tonight? n/t 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #51
I won't. bravenak Nov 2015 #62
Bravenak sez: freshwest Nov 2015 #69
I don't like you. I love you, like a sister, of course. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #55
Love you too, brother. bravenak Nov 2015 #63
There are some fly lovers who still like you. LiberalArkie Nov 2015 #58
Thank you. bravenak Nov 2015 #64
What a stunning exposition of political analysis that was... But.. Never Explain... freshwest Nov 2015 #67
Funny huh? bravenak Nov 2015 #82
That's so funny! MineralMan Nov 2015 #80
Isn't it! bravenak Nov 2015 #81
Cool! I love tetherball. MineralMan Nov 2015 #83
Of course. They ARE heavy! bravenak Nov 2015 #85
I'm really strong. I'll be glad to. MineralMan Nov 2015 #86
Thank you. bravenak Nov 2015 #87
That was mean mcar Nov 2015 #36
I'm pretty sure Bernie's departure will be a sad time for you whatchamacallit Nov 2015 #5
You wish. No matter what, people WILL bother me. bravenak Nov 2015 #8
I'd like to see a book or something with the best upaloopa Nov 2015 #30
I keep threatening to write a book on this season. I just might!! It has been a doozy!! bravenak Nov 2015 #32
Hope you do upaloopa Nov 2015 #41
The projection is strong in that one ... 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #53
No shit. bravenak Nov 2015 #61
Actually, the riling at Democrats will continue. n/t 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #75
"It will mark the beginning of your fade into oblivion" sufrommich Nov 2015 #21
That one made me laugh too! bravenak Nov 2015 #25
Is this you,by any chance? sufrommich Nov 2015 #26
Yeeees Dahling! Ready for my close up!! bravenak Nov 2015 #34
LOL ... Now THAT made me laugh! n/t 1StrongBlackMan Nov 2015 #54
Bernie is doing well in the first two primary states that vote... CoffeeCat Nov 2015 #12
2 states? Ok.nt bravenak Nov 2015 #14
The only states that matter, as far as polling goes... CoffeeCat Nov 2015 #59
He's not going to win Iowa and New Hampshire sufrommich Nov 2015 #22
"I see you working VERY hard to convey that meme." Exactly. You said it better than I did. (nt) Electric Monk Nov 2015 #23
Takes ZERO work. That is the problem. Too easy. Just gotta point out REALITY. bravenak Nov 2015 #24
It is why we have primaries angrychair Nov 2015 #33
Bernie has few endorsements and fewer delegates. bravenak Nov 2015 #35
I dont do this angrychair Nov 2015 #45
Policy will not win elections. bravenak Nov 2015 #46
"Coalitions" sounds like "compromise" angrychair Nov 2015 #50
Hillary had more endorsements and nearly all of the delegates in 08 too! CoffeeCat Nov 2015 #60
You are correct. It is why we have primaries. blue neen Nov 2015 #44
I live in Iowa and I see a lot of Bernie signs but I haven't seen a single Clinton sign. Luciferous Nov 2015 #49
Bernie is not doing all that well in IA and most recent polls have Clinton up in NH. Persondem Nov 2015 #57
Can you show us where the "trajectory to win Iowa" is? brooklynite Nov 2015 #76
My prediction PowerToThePeople Nov 2015 #27
To help me carry Bernie supporters to my rejuvenating Hillary Spa! bravenak Nov 2015 #37
Never. Fawke Em Nov 2015 #71
A sure sign of a bad thread TSIAS Nov 2015 #28
Ok.nt bravenak Nov 2015 #38
Wait! Delegates have been selected already? SheilaT Nov 2015 #52
He doesn't even try. bravenak Nov 2015 #65
I have not talked about O'Malley out of respect. NCTraveler Nov 2015 #56
I know what you mean about giving O'malley respect. I just like him so damn much that I want bravenak Nov 2015 #66
Nooooo! I want Castro to be VP! Take THAT! Make MO'M the Commerce Secretary or I'll... freshwest Nov 2015 #72
And if it's Hillary, I'm going to have to try to find Fawke Em Nov 2015 #70
What are you going to do when Bernie endorses Hillary? moobu2 Nov 2015 #73
Absoultey nothing. Fawke Em Nov 2015 #74
I sure as hell hope not. LWolf Nov 2015 #77
She done started looking for VPs today a few hours after I posted this. bravenak Nov 2015 #78
Sounds about right. MineralMan Nov 2015 #79
Good Idea. I might need to log off for that whole week. bravenak Nov 2015 #84
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