At this moment what do you think Bernies chances of winning the nomination are?

[CoffeeCat]

40. Yes, but Clinton had those same enormous national leads...

…in 2007/2008 national polling.

Those national polls really don't matter.

It's the state polls that decide this election. As the primaries for each voting states draws near, the campaigns heat up and people in those states really begin paying attention and making up their minds.

Of course, we don't know how all of these states will vote.

However, Hillary had what seemed like, insurmountable leads in national polls. However, when each state voted, Obama began winning many of those primaries.

Obama was barely a blip on anyone's radar screen, at this point, during the campaign. In Sept 2007--he was trailing a distant third in Iowa and barely registering in national polls. Hillary was the "inevitable" candidate with the national leads that looked unbeatable.

There are many parallels!