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DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. Oregon.
Tue Aug 11, 2015, 10:37 AM
Aug 2015

The July 25-27 survey by Portland-based DHM Research shows Clinton, the former secretary of state, leading the Democratic primary in Oregon with 44 percent of the vote to 39 percent for Sanders, a Vermont senator.

http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2015/08/oregon_presidential_poll_hilla.html

Sounds like an outlier NH poll. She still leads in the upper 40s, nationally. onehandle Aug 2015 #1
Thank you for replying. Hmm, maybe I was engaged in a little wishful thinking. Could swear KingCharlemagne Aug 2015 #3
Yes, you are correct, I believe it was a Quinniapic poll showing Sanders to be now only sabrina 1 Aug 2015 #13
We don't vote for presidents nationally. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #5
There is almost a 1 to 1 correlation between national polling and national results Godhumor Aug 2015 #7
Not this early out, though. Fawke Em Aug 2015 #9
But the same logic works for all polls then Godhumor Aug 2015 #12
The last quinniapic poll showed Sanders now only 5 points behind Hillary in a state where sabrina 1 Aug 2015 #14
In which case national polling will reflect that change Godhumor Aug 2015 #18
That question is better applies to Hillary. Bernie is already attracting people from across sabrina 1 Aug 2015 #23
Look at that NH poll again. It's the aggregate of 3 polls. hedda_foil Aug 2015 #17
Gravis is the individual poll the OP is referencing Godhumor Aug 2015 #19
The aggregate spread is not that wide. The widest margin is Hillary+10. hedda_foil Aug 2015 #24
I'm not discrediting anything. He asked for which poll is 39-43. Gravis is 39-43 Godhumor Aug 2015 #25
The running avg of Nat'l polls at RCP has Clinton up ~35% HereSince1628 Aug 2015 #2
Thanks for replying. I may have been engaged in some wishful thinking. I neglected KingCharlemagne Aug 2015 #4
Perhaps New Hampshire? SonderWoman Aug 2015 #6
The poll is the Gravis Marketing poll for NH Godhumor Aug 2015 #8
Again, that is an aggregate of 3 polls of which Gravis is one. hedda_foil Aug 2015 #20
No, Gravis is the individual poll the OP referenced. The aggregate spread is wider Godhumor Aug 2015 #22
Oregon. DCBob Aug 2015 #10
Yeah, best to ignore that one Godhumor Aug 2015 #11
Most of them are unscientific now since they haven't caught up with tech and sabrina 1 Aug 2015 #15
No, the Oregon poll was the statistical definition of unscientific Godhumor Aug 2015 #21
Yeah, you have the link now. NH Poll. Adrahil Aug 2015 #16
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