Nevada: Obama 52%, Romney 44% (R)asmussen

[Drunken Irishman]

8. No way will Romney have a billion dollar war chest...

He's not even sniffing 100 million and there's now only six months until the election.

Now the Super PACs will pump a ton of money into the election and certainly that could push a billion, but even their reach is limited. Elections aren't won or lost because of ads saturating the market. I think people will be surprised at how ineffective many of these Super PACs will be because they don't address voter turnout, the ground game, basic, local campaigning in many of these swing states. Take Ohio. Obama currently has 18 offices open there. Romney has 0. That will change, of course, but the Romney CAMPAIGN has far less money than Obama's. Because of that, they'll be strained where he actively campaigns, opens offices, trains personnel to GOTV and other issues addressed solely by the campaign - not the Super PACs.