2016 Postmortem

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)

11. Here's a prediction map I saw recently

Thu Apr 19, 2012, 07:12 PM

Apr 2012

A 2012 Electoral Map Forecast

The map ON THE LINK BELOW is based on data from the Intrade prediction market, where individuals place wagers on the outcome of the 2012 Presidential election in each state. The states remaining dark gray have no betting data currently available. The darker the shade of blue or red, the more likely that party will carry the state. Hover over any state for details.

Here: http://electoralmap.net/2012/intrade.php

Note: the Democrat total doesn't include Illinois ("no Intrade data&quot

and that's 20 electoral votes which would give Obama 283 and the election!

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

47 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

My bet is it won"t be a close election [View all] bigdarryl Apr 2012 OP

We can only hope ... 1StrongBlackMan Apr 2012 #1

The OP might be under-estimating the power of the SUPERPAC lacrew Apr 2012 #5

This will affect down card races. mabuhayp Apr 2012 #32

Welcome to DU, mabuhayp! cyberswede Apr 2012 #33

+1. mabuhayp, why don't you create a journal for your song. gkhouston Apr 2012 #34

Thank you for your advice! mabuhayp Apr 2012 #36

man, I hope you are right veganlush Apr 2012 #2

Obama by 30 million pre-Diebold. Less after, just like in 2008. Scuba Apr 2012 #3

Just wait til the money starts flowing. rgbecker Apr 2012 #4

that's what i think too. barbtries Apr 2012 #6

that is what I thought in 2003. Then I became acutely aware that this was bbgrunt Apr 2012 #7

I think so too ... the media is going to try to keep it close, mainly to save their own jobs. JoePhilly Apr 2012 #8

Bush's REAL margin of victory in 2000 was 1 vote... lastlib Apr 2012 #19

Exactly. JoePhilly Apr 2012 #23

problem with UE rate is that supposedly, I have heard a number of pundits say, is Laura PourMeADrink Apr 2012 #30

Well, the media will spin the debates. joshcryer Apr 2012 #9

Did anyone in the media (excepting Fox) claim that McCain "won" a debate? brooklynite Apr 2012 #21

Even with all the voter suppression? polichick Apr 2012 #10

Here's a prediction map I saw recently Tx4obama Apr 2012 #11

i don't see a landslide, but - Tax Man Apr 2012 #12

I'm afraid that Obama's landslide will be undermined by voter suppression, i.e. TheDebbieDee Apr 2012 #13

Since a pro stem cell initiative won a few years before, I thought Obama might actually win MO in 08 MatthewStLouis Apr 2012 #22

I'm not worried about Obama. progressoid Apr 2012 #14

right Cosmocat Apr 2012 #39

Obama is my first choice susanlinch Apr 2012 #15

I hope you are right bigdarryl Voice for Peace Apr 2012 #16

I don't think so. Antoniac123 Apr 2012 #17

right, what states that he did not win the last time Cosmocat Apr 2012 #40

Isn't it obvious what's going on? sofa king Apr 2012 #18

K & R. Make it so. FSogol Apr 2012 #20

It's up to us to make it so. great white snark Apr 2012 #26

I hope so Proud Liberal Dem Apr 2012 #24

Romney is just a gaffe machine. It never ends. Alexander Apr 2012 #25

I totally agree Mosaic Apr 2012 #27

Tight elections mean higher viewership...its in the interests of the networks that this be a close Rowdyboy Apr 2012 #28

I love the way you think, BigDarryl. I personally don't see how Laura PourMeADrink Apr 2012 #29

Or to have Michelle tell the story of how he sings to her "all the time" as she did on Letterman. CTyankee Apr 2012 #37

lol. I don't think anything would help him..after hearing him sing Davy Crockett King of the Wild Laura PourMeADrink Apr 2012 #41

It wasn't my favorite example but I'm too old to understand the charm of "slow jam" I guess... CTyankee Apr 2012 #42

The thing about Romney it's not just his choice of song (like you said, Oldie) it is that it Laura PourMeADrink Apr 2012 #43

And, IMO, he never will. My guess is that he'll go on stepping in it over and over again and CTyankee Apr 2012 #45

My bet: traditional pattern will hold CobaltBlue Apr 2012 #31

Holy moley....did you write all this off the top of your head? Impressive ! thanks. nt Laura PourMeADrink Apr 2012 #44

They have alienated every major voting bloc except white men. jillan Apr 2012 #35

Then make sure you get out there and work for it and don't take it for granted. WI_DEM Apr 2012 #38

From your lips to God's ears Iwillnevergiveup Apr 2012 #46

I see no way that the NeoCons would be able to rig this one at all. prefunk Apr 2012 #47