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2016 Postmortem

illegaloperation

(260 posts)

9. Don't forget other groups.

Reply to SpartanDem (Reply #7)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 04:11 PM

Jan 2013

African American make up a bigger percent of the electorate in Texas than California and African American are solidly Democratic.

Nationally:
African American: Obama 95% - Romney 4%
Hispanics/Latino: Obama 71% - Romney 27%
Asian: Obama 76% - Romney 26%

I will assume that 3/4 of the Latino are NOT undocumented.

0.95 x 11.8% + 0.71 x 3/4 x 38% + 0.76 x 3.8% = 34.333%

If the Democrats are able to mobilize these voters, they should already have 34.333% vote for Obama without a single white vote.

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23 replies

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Highlight:

Dems hope generational shift will turn Texas blue and shut GOP out of White House [View all] UCmeNdc Jan 2013 OP

It's no the president who is shoving Republicans into the dustbin of history. JDPriestly Jan 2013 #1

I can donate a broom Hekate Jan 2013 #18

They Can Prevent That Through Gerrymandering AndyTiedye Jan 2013 #2

Not to worry. The DEMs will find a way, ANY WAY, to throw the GOP a lifeline. blkmusclmachine Jan 2013 #3

Cant gerymander governors or senators quakerboy Jan 2013 #4

Can only redraw districts every 10 years, and by 2020, it'll be too late. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2013 #11

Every 10 Years after the Census Used to be the Rule AndyTiedye Jan 2013 #17

I thought SCOTUS decision outlawed TX redistricting scheme. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2013 #19

No it didn't. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #22

O.K., thanks for the clarification. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2013 #23

That won't be a problem in statewide election. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #15

It Does Affect the State Legislatures (Which Draw US Congressional Districts) AndyTiedye Jan 2013 #16

This is something I've always wondered about. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #21

Texas should already be a blue state. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #5

Texas is full of evangelical fundy types SpartanDem Jan 2013 #7

Don't forget other groups. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #9

The white vote in TX is a lot redder than the white vote in CA NewJeffCT Jan 2013 #10

A few points I want to make. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #13

Sharp decline in black population offsets the entire minority demographic. There will have to Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2013 #12

I looked into this. illegaloperation Jan 2013 #14

Thanks. I misread the chart that you posted comparing CA to TX Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2013 #20

Repubs never take personal responsibility.. this is a prime example Cha Jan 2013 #6

If only. We Gen X/Y's have been hard-pressed these days. sakabatou Jan 2013 #8