Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

babylonsister

(171,656 posts) Tue Apr 3, 2012, 03:06 PM Apr 2012

Holy mackeral! Pollster Finds Obama is Overwhelming Favorite [View all]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/04/03/pollster_finds_obama_is_overwhelming_favorite.html

Pollster Finds Obama is Overwhelming Favorite

An Ipsos forecasting model finds that if President Obama's approval rating stays at 47%, there is an 85% chance he wins reelection, Paul Bedard reports.

Should Obama's approval rise to 50% or better, he stands a 99% chance of winning.

Said pollster Clifford Young: "Obama is the odds-on favorite barring some unforeseen random event. As such, we really should not be asking who will win the presidency but instead who will hold the House and Senate and will Obama be able to govern?"

23 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Holy mackeral! Pollster Finds Obama is Overwhelming Favorite [View all] babylonsister Apr 2012 OP

This election is plenty winnable Proud Liberal Dem Apr 2012 #1

The election is winnable not won. LetTimmySmoke Apr 2012 #9

Shhhhhhh. aquart Apr 2012 #2

+1 Proud Liberal Dem Apr 2012 #4

We can't afford to dismiss the "anybody but Obama" voters who will be fueled gateley Apr 2012 #6

There is a very real chance that the GOP could steal 2012 as they did in 2000 Vincardog Apr 2012 #3

And with all the new voting id requirements in place -- might be a lot easier than gateley Apr 2012 #7

They stole Ohio and the election in 04 Gman Apr 2012 #15

99%... lame54 Apr 2012 #5

"Should Obama's approval rise to 50% or better" ... zbdent Apr 2012 #8

This is great but if we don't take the house ans senate it movonne Apr 2012 #10

WInning the election will be easy. Winning the vote-counting, less so. DFW Apr 2012 #11

The House and Senate should be our main concern progressoid Apr 2012 #12

Its the "unforeseen random event" that Im worried about. DCBob Apr 2012 #13

Just stop it. The Stranger Apr 2012 #14

Am sure the republicans don't give a real damn about the president slot. They want both southernyankeebelle Apr 2012 #16

We need to ignore that poll and work this election like we're 2 points behind LynneSin Apr 2012 #17

The election is far from won fujiyama Apr 2012 #18

Then the GOP will Turbineguy Apr 2012 #19

Senate & House too. ffr Apr 2012 #20

Go to Intrade and you will see Obama is the leader 321Morrow Apr 2012 #21

Now that Mitt has the GOP sewn up DonCoquixote Apr 2012 #22

Unfortunately, I think you're right crazylikafox Apr 2012 #23