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2016 Postmortem

andym

(5,443 posts)

9. No coat tails for Democrats in Congress and state houses

Reply to jonno99 (Original post)

Thu Jan 19, 2017, 12:59 PM

Jan 2017

Democrats usually do better in Presidential election years, but there have been no coat tails for Democrats from the Presidential candidate since 2008. To have coat tails requires a substantial victory, which of course hasn't happened since 2008. Off year elections tend to favor the party out of power, but they really have favored the GOP lately, so we'll have to see about 2018.

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Democrats: Left in the Lurch. [View all] jonno99 Jan 2017 OP

"Electorally speaking, Democrats live in the wrong places." EL34x4 Jan 2017 #1

Excellent point. However, I'm inclined to go with the "black swan" argument. This jonno99 Jan 2017 #2

We ignore our mistakes at our peril. We never thought we'd lose to Bush twice* and we did. dionysus Jan 2017 #4

I disagree rpannier Jan 2017 #6

Very interesting piece! dionysus Jan 2017 #3

young liberal voters that normaly would have voted dem, voted green or didnt vote at all - why ? factfinder_77 Jan 2017 #5

We got pounded in 2016 rpannier Jan 2017 #7

yeah, so what was up with those senate races? Is that Hillary's fault? Fast Walker 52 Jan 2017 #8

Ah, but the pounding was not from the GOP alone. Demsrule86 Jan 2017 #11

Yep - it seems there was a lot of so-called progressives who jonno99 Jan 2017 #12

No coat tails for Democrats in Congress and state houses andym Jan 2017 #9

It is not uncommon for the party holding the presidency to lose the House during the midterms. Demsrule86 Jan 2017 #10