2016 Postmortem

factfinder_77

(841 posts) Wed Nov 2, 2016, 04:23 PM Nov 2016

fivethirtyeight just updated their election forcast: Clinton 68,9 % - Trump 31 % [View all]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

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fivethirtyeight just updated their election forcast: Clinton 68,9 % - Trump 31 % [View all] factfinder_77 Nov 2016 OP

Not sure why this is news Farmgirl1961 Nov 2016 #1

There are a few more accurate polls then 538. misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #12

I'm finished with polls MFM008 Nov 2016 #2

Yes, it shows Hillary with good polls in CO, NM & NV, so the assclown LOWERED the odds 0.4% Dem2 Nov 2016 #3

I call bull on 538's forcast. Here's Benchmark & why they are more precise. misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #10

Benchmark may have some good modeling… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #30

Shareblue? I have no idea why its worthy of snark. misterhighwasted Nov 2016 #36

Assclown? Seriously? You think he is totally clueless about polling? n/t ScienceIsGood Nov 2016 #28

He seems a little too conservative this cycle Dem2 Nov 2016 #42

Well, maybe "I disagree with his model this election", but "assclown" is silly. He knows his shit. ScienceIsGood Nov 2016 #53

I like inflammatory language, that's why I post on this political website Dem2 Nov 2016 #54

OK, carry on. I would suggest calling him a "Hack, Loser, Clueless, Etc" if it makes you feel better ScienceIsGood Nov 2016 #55

I've always had an affinity for "assclown" Dem2 Nov 2016 #56

Asswipe and shitforbrains is good also. n/t ScienceIsGood Nov 2016 #57

Will this herald the return of socialism? es35 Nov 2016 #4

Well we saw what a big hit Bernie Sanders was once he got into the public spotlight. Rex Nov 2016 #37

lolz obamanut2012 Nov 2016 #5

Look at the first two posters in this thread Democat Nov 2016 #8

yup JI7 Nov 2016 #9

yup obamanut2012 Nov 2016 #43

factfinder_77 and Farmgirl1961 posting together in a concern thread Democat Nov 2016 #7

... DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #19

Yep - posting in a concern thread Farmgirl1961 Nov 2016 #21

I am concerned also heaven05 Nov 2016 #33

hahahahaha obamanut2012 Nov 2016 #44

Factfinder is a so concerned he has posted at least four bad polls...and other negative stuff... Demsrule86 Nov 2016 #45

Why does DU site always posting 538 stuff but not Sam Wang bigdarryl Nov 2016 #11

The converse is true for the Senate. 538 gives better numbers for the Dems than Wang. RAFisher Nov 2016 #20

Where did you hear that? bigdarryl Nov 2016 #25

Trump is surging helpisontheway Nov 2016 #14

No..... Adrahil Nov 2016 #17

Bullshit. that is all. Demsrule86 Nov 2016 #46

It updates multiple times per day. How is this newsworthy? TheLibIn615 Nov 2016 #15

Nate always hedges his bets. No matter what happens he wants to say he was right. redstateblues Nov 2016 #16

Didn't he have an article last week explaining why 538 tended to a be a bit more bullish? Red State Prisoner Nov 2016 #18

yes: this one factfinder_77 Nov 2016 #23

538 is too volatile, not stable like PEC/Wang, Benchmark, Upshot radius777 Nov 2016 #24

I'm vadermike Nov 2016 #26

"NH poll coming tmmrw showing trump up." DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #27

Did vadermike Nov 2016 #29

Where is the link ? DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 #31

Oh brother. So one poll has Trump up and that means all the other polls are wrong book_worm Nov 2016 #35

Not to me... but then I look at the electoral college and ignore the 'concerned' Demsrule86 Nov 2016 #50

trump isn't up in VA, and never will be obamanut2012 Nov 2016 #47

Solid position!!! Nt NCTraveler Nov 2016 #32

Another positive post from you. book_worm Nov 2016 #34

Wow, she has a huge commanding lead. Rex Nov 2016 #38

538 now gives us a better chance of winning the Senate than the Presidency factfinder_77 Nov 2016 #48

don't forget this only works so far, once crossover and unknowns get in the way sunonmars Nov 2016 #49

Look at those Hillary and Trump lines below how they have changed since doc03 Nov 2016 #51

When in danger, when in doubt… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #52

Based on all the rouge polls coming tomorrow and day after, I guess it may go down to low 60's MyNameIsKhan Nov 2016 #58

Dec 1969 #