Two Presidential election experts predict 2016 is not a easy call

[Hortensis]

4. “This is the toughest election I have ever had to call.” WHAT???!!!

This is truly the most bizarre analysis I've ever read.

"According to Lichtman’s model, the incumbent party, led this year by Hillary Clinton, already has five strikes against it. If that flips to six, she will lose, he said."

UCLA, we don't blame you for this nonsense. But, Bigdarryl, playing university names is a lot easier when truth is the goal. Here's the Princeton's Consortium's electoral map. Thanks for setting this answer up.



Below is their "safe" map which shows darkest colors for those states the candidates are estimated to have at least 95% chance of winning. The "safe" total is thus a minimum electoral estimate and it still puts Hillary at a minimum 271.

-white

"Note that this is different from the electoral vote totals given in the banner (the first map), which represent the median of all possible outcomes, which number in the quadrillions. The banner therefore does a better job of accounting for uncertainties in an election held today."