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In the discussion thread: How difficult will 2014 be? [View all]

Response to ashtonelijah (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 01:55 PM

12. Looked at that this morning...

I think we are going to have a bunch of folks running right (Blues in Red leaning states):

AK (Begich)
AR (Pryor)
LA (Landrieu)
MT (Baucus)
NC (Hagan)
SD (Johnson)

Some of those obviously are better positioned than others, but they are the most likely to hitch their wagon to the republicans on issues through 2014. Others didn't have particularly strong showings last time out and could be targeted:

OR (Merkely)
NH (Shaheen)
MN (Franken)
CO (M. Udall)

And PPP had some polling showing that Rockefeller and Harkin may have credible challengers (early to say that though, imo)

Lastly we may have an issue if Kerry goes SoS in the O second term. Brown will probably run again, he's popular and there isn't, to my knowledge, another Warren available.

The safe seats look like:

DE (Coons)
MI (Levin)
NM (T. Udall)
NJ (Lautenberg)
RI (Reed)
VA? (Warner)

Hopefully none of those get competitive.

On the other side, not sure that there is a ton of prime red targets (only 13 red against our 20 blue up for reelection). Chambliss in GA? Collins in ME? McConnell? Someone may get tea-partied and we might pick up a Lugar-type seat, but unless somethings shifted significantly from 6 yrs. ago, there aren't a lot of vulnerable targets, or targets at all, in fact. Somehow we are playing defense again in the Senate.

It's early to worry about the 2014 election to be sure, not as early to worry about how these guys represent us in the next two years. We will need their votes to defeat filibusters and we may not get them if they run scared to the right.

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 23 replies Author Time Post
ashtonelijah Nov 2012 OP
leftyohiolib Nov 2012 #1
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #2
JustAnotherGen Nov 2012 #3
GitRDun Nov 2012 #4
Marsala Nov 2012 #5
Agnosticsherbet Nov 2012 #6
Cosmocat Nov 2012 #7
Robbins Nov 2012 #8
shawn703 Nov 2012 #9
Floyd_Gondolli Nov 2012 #10
bushisanidiot Nov 2012 #11
LineReply Looked at that this morning...
UofIDem Nov 2012 #12
neverforget Nov 2012 #13
tabbycat31 Nov 2012 #19
UofIDem Nov 2012 #20
karynnj Nov 2012 #22
Hutzpa Nov 2012 #14
Mr.Turnip Nov 2012 #15
UofIDem Nov 2012 #16
JRLeft Nov 2012 #17
nobunnyclue Nov 2012 #18
Blaukraut Nov 2012 #23
Ken Burch Nov 2012 #21
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