2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: California’s lengthy vote count stokes theories that Sanders actually won the primary [View all]onenote
(45,148 posts)Still looking for an explanation of the reference to "65,500" ballots in Los Angeles and "580,000" ballots statewide and, in particular, how 580,000 ballots out of 8.6 million is one eighth.
The real math: Clinton currently has a lead of around 445,000 over Sanders. There are 710,000 ballots not yet processed (including 199,000 mail in ballots and 481,000 provisional ballots). Let's assume that 75 percent of those 710,000 ballots (532,500) are Democratic presidential primary ballots (even though up until now, Democratic Presidential primary ballots represent only around 60 percent of all of the ballots processed). To overtake Clinton, Sanders would have to get around 488,750 of the 532,500 remaining Democratic Primary ballots. That's 92 percent. (Heck, even if 100 percent of the 710,000 unprocessed ballots are Democratic presidential primary ballots --which is definitely not the case) -- Sanders would have to get 81 percent of them.
Not. Going. To. Happen.
Edit history
Recommendations
0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):